Due to the considerable socio-economic and ecological impacts of the climate, many efforts have been made to predict year-to-year climate variability (e.g., ENSO) and climate changes over the past decades. In particular, advanced data assimilation techniques have been applied to weather-climate forecasting systems in order to generate realistic ensemble initial conditions for improved predictive skill. However, major challenges remain in reducing uncertainties in the initial conditions and errors in forecast models and external forcing, and in assessing predictability limit associated with multi-scale climate processes and nonlinearity. In this context, Advances in seasonal to decadal prediction have been selected as the topic for this year’s international conference of CAS-TWAS-WMO Forum on Climate Science (CTWF).
Novel data assimilation and ensemble forecast approaches for improving S2D predictions
Impact of model systematic error on forecasts, and approaches to alleviate them
Mechanisms for atmosphere-ocean variability
Understanding of the fundamental limits of predictability
Atmosphere-ocean observing system evaluation for S2D predictions
Practical application of S2D predictions
09月01日
2017
09月22日
2017
摘要截稿日期
注册截止日期
2017年09月18日 中国 东城区
2017年第十六届国际气候论坛2016年09月19日 中国 Beijing,China
第15届CTWF国际气候论坛2013年09月09日 中国 北京市
第12届中国科学院-第三世界科学院-世界气象组织国际气候论坛暨发展中国家业务化海洋学国际研讨会
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