Decreasing Translation Speed of Rapid Expansion Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific
编号:442 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-04 08:57:57 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要
The overall destructiveness of tropical cyclones (TCs) depends not only on their intensity but also on storm size and translation speed, which together determine the spatial extent and duration of impacts. However, variations in translation speed of TCs undergoing rapid expansion (RE) over recent decades remain poorly understood. Using multiple TC best-track observations and reanalysis products, we revealed a significant decline in the translation speed of RE TCs over the western North Pacific during 1980–2024. This decline is driven by a shift in RE occurrence toward slower-moving TCs. Composite analysis indicated that decreased mid-level relative humidity gradient, weakened low-level radial inflow, and reduced relative sea surface temperature (SST) surrounding faster-moving TCs are primarily responsible for this shift. By linearly removing the effects of climate variability and long-term SST trend, we further demonstrated that the slowdown of RE TCs is influenced by both Pacific decadal oscillation and global warming.
 
关键词
Tropical Cyclone;,Rapid Expansion;,Translation Speed,Western North Pacific,Global Warming,PDO
报告人
唐晓东
教授 南京大学

稿件作者
唐晓东 南京大学
李惠林 南京大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    08月12日

    2026

    08月15日

    2026

  • 08月05日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 08月12日 2026

    注册截止日期

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