Multi-decadal Variability of North Pacific Bomb Cyclone Intensity During 1940–2025
编号:891 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 20:26:47 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要
Recent work has revealed a weakening of North Pacific bomb cyclones since the early 2000s, closely associated with the variability of the Aleutian Low. However, most existing analyses are limited to the satellite era, making it difficult to determine whether these changes represent an unprecedented shift or part of longer-term climate variability. In this study, we extend the historical record of North Pacific bomb cyclones to 1940 using the ERA5 reanalysis. Bomb cyclones are identified and tracked using an objective cyclone-tracking algorithm based on mean sea-level pressure. Multiple intensity metrics, including maximum near-surface wind speed, minimum sea-level pressure, and the deepening rate of cyclone center pressure, are examined. The extended record enables an assessment of interannual-to-multidecadal variability in bomb cyclone intensity over the past eight decades. Preliminary analyses suggest substantial multi-decadal modulation of bomb cyclone intensity. In addition, particular attention is given to the relationships between bomb cyclone characteristics and large-scale Pacific climate modes, including the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, and Aleutian Low variability. These results help clarify the relative contributions of natural climate variability and long-term climate change to North Pacific bomb cyclone behavior.
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报告人
Jiaxiang Gao
Lecturer Fuzhou University

稿件作者
Jiaxiang Gao Fuzhou University
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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