SAM ENSO jointly modulate decadal variability of the Southern Ocean heat storage
编号:887 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 20:25:46 浏览:0次 张贴报告

报告开始:暂无开始时间(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:暂无持续时间

所在会场:[暂无会议] [暂无会议段]

暂无文件

摘要
The Southern Ocean (SO, 60°S–30°S) plays a key role in the global climate system by absorbing and redistributing a large fraction of anthropogenic excess heat. While its long-term warming trend is well documented, the mechanisms controlling decadal variability in SO heat storage require further investigation. In particular, whether and how the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) jointly regulate SO heat uptake has not been systematically clarified. Here we analyze multiple observational ocean temperature datasets (IAPv4.2, Ishii, and EN4) to investigate decadal variability of SO heat storage. We identify three distinct shifts in the warming rate of SO heat storage during 2003-2022. These transitions show strong coherence with concurrent variations in SAM and Niño3.4 indices, suggesting a combined influence of these leading modes of climate variability. Composite analyses of SO heat storage tendency reveal a robust nonlinear response to SAM–ENSO coupling. Positive SAM combined with La Niña conditions lead to enhanced heat accumulation in the SO, whereas negative SAM together with El Niño results in reduced heat storage. The largest anomalies occur when SAM and ENSO act in phase, indicating a synergistic amplification of decadal variability beyond the influence of either mode alone.
The robustness of these relationships is confirmed using the CESM2 Large Ensemble, which successfully reproduces the observed composite structures, demonstrating that the identified signal is not driven by internal noise. Model diagnostics further indicate that the joint SAM–ENSO forcing induces pronounced wind stress curl anomalies. These atmospheric anomalies modify ocean circulation and strengthen meridional ocean heat transport into the SO. In particular, the 30°S boundary acts as the primary gateway through which anomalous heat is imported, and changes in meridional heat transport dominate the variability of SO heat storage tendency. Our results demonstrate that decadal variability of SO heat storage arises from the combined influence of SAM and ENSO through their control on large-scale atmospheric circulation and wind-driven ocean heat transport. These findings highlight the importance of considering SAM–ENSO coupling in interpreting past variability and improving predictions of future changes in SO heat uptake and the global ocean heat budget.
关键词
暂无
报告人
Yutong Zheng
Xiamen University

稿件作者
Yutong Zheng Xiamen University
发表评论
验证码 看不清楚,更换一张
全部评论
重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
联系方式
历届会议
移动端
在手机上打开
小程序
打开微信小程序
客服
扫码或点此咨询