Origin of tropical central Pacific decadal variability from ENSO nonlinearity
编号:879 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 20:23:33 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要
Despite the pivotal role of tropical Pacific decadal variability in the global climate system, its key characteristics and underlying mechanisms remain less comprehended. Here we show that observed tropical Pacific decadal variability is most energetic over the equatorial central Pacific and the subtropical northeastern Pacific, contrasting with the interannual El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), whose largest sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies occur in the eastern equatorial Pacific. Mechanistic analyses reveal that this decadal variability is equatorially originated from ENSO nonlinearity. During strong El Niño episodes, pronounced nonlinear ocean dynamical cooling over the equatorial central Pacific leads the decadal variability by approximately one-quarter cycle (~30 months) and initiates its phase transition. The resulting SST anomalies are subsequently amplified through coupled ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, giving rise to the central-Pacific ENSO/Pacific Meridional Mode-like decadal SST pattern that characterizes its mature phase. In contrast, equatorial ocean dynamical memory plays only a limited role on this decadal timescale, fundamentally distinguishing the underlying mechanism from the classical ENSO recharge–discharge paradigm. Most climate models underestimate this nonlinear rectification process, owing to prevalent mean cold tongue bias that weaken tropical air-sea coupling and degenerate strong El Niño regime. Furthermore, the tropical central Pacific decadal variability induces a similar quasi-decadal SST variability in the tropical South Atlantic primarily through Southern Hemisphere atmospheric teleconnections, highlighting its central role in pan-tropical decadal climate variability.
 
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报告人
Chao Liu
Xiamen University

稿件作者
Chao Liu Xiamen University
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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