Physics Constrained Tropical Cyclone Monitoring
编号:827 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 19:59:32 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要
Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) monitoring is limited by sparse direct wind observations. Geostationary infrared imagery provides frequent cloud top observations, but a single image does not fully describe recent TC motion or the link between TC center, intensity, and inner core size. This study presents a physics constrained TC monitoring model, named PCTCM, for global estimation of TC center, intensity, and radius of maximum wind (RMW). The model uses GridSat-B1 infrared images and historical TC information. It takes the current non centered infrared image and the historical TC information from 6 and 12 hours earlier as inputs. A point branch estimates center, intensity, and RMW. A map branch learns a spatial structure heatmap. To give this heatmap physical meaning, we build wind field targets from Holland radial profiles. The map output is also used to infer center, intensity, and RMW, so that the point output and map output are trained to be consistent. Tests on global TC cases from 2023 to 2024 show that PCTCM reaches a center location error of 30.19 km, an intensity RMSE of 2.35 m/s, and an RMW MAE of 8.72 km. Historical TC information provides the largest gain. Physics constrained wind field heatmaps further improve intensity and RMW estimation by linking cloud structure with radial wind structure. The results show that temporal TC history and physically meaningful heatmap supervision can improve satellite-based TC monitoring across global basins.
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报告人
Chong Wang
Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences

稿件作者
Chong Wang Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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