Significance of Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies to Arctic sea ice variability revealed by deep learning
编号:822 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 19:58:16 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要
Arctic sea ice has undergone dramatic changes over the past four decades, leading to far-reaching climate impacts. Anomalous sea surface temperature (SST) in the extra-polar oceans is recognized as one of the principal drivers of Arctic sea ice variability. However, the relative importance of SST anomalies across different ocean basins remains uncertain. Here, we employ a deep neural network (DNN) model to reconstruct Arctic sea ice extent (SIE) variability independently using the observational daily SST anomaly fields in the Pacific, Atlantic, and Indian Oceans. We find that the Atlantic SSTbased DNN produces the best and most stable reconstruction of Arctic SIE, a result that cannot be achieved by a linear regression model. In particular, based on explainable AI techniques, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf Stream are identified as key regions where SST variability has the most pronounced influence on Arctic SIE. The superiority of DNN over the regression model in SIE reconstruction elucidates the integral role of Atlantic SST interannual variability in modulating Arctic sea ice, likely through the SST-driven latent heat flux anomalies in those key regions. These findings highlight the importance of interannual Atlantic SST variations to Arctic sea ice variability, underpinned by the ability of DNN to capture their complex teleconnections.
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报告人
Yanqin Li
postdoctor Ocean University of China

稿件作者
Yanqin Li Ocean University of China
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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