Strategizing Emission Cuts in China to Mitigate Short-term Warming from Clean Air Policies
编号:707 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 18:30:33 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要
Aerosol-cloud interactions remain one of the largest sources of uncertainty in estimates of anthropogenic climate forcing. Reducing aerosols to achieve air quality improvement and climate goals can cause unintended warming due to the weakening of aerosol cooling. Here we investigate the climate impacts of spatially optimized sulfur dioxide (SO2) emission reduction under a carbon-neutral pathway in China. We find that targeting reduction in highly polluted regions in China significantly suppresses the rise in effective radiative forcing due to aerosol-cloud interactions (ERFaci) during 2020–2060. Owing to the nonlinear aerosol-cloud interaction, the optimized emission reduction strategy limits the regional average increase in ERFaciof more than 0.89 W m−2 to less than 0.13 W m−2 in the short-term future during 2020–2040 and weakens the ERFaci increase by two-thirds of in 2060 over China. These findings demonstrate the critical role of targeted emission control in mitigating short-term climate risks while pursuing air quality goals.
 
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报告人
Yang Yang
Professor Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology

稿件作者
Yang Yang Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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