Global expansion of the sensitive aerosol-limited marine cloud regime under emission reductions
编号:704 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 18:29:50 浏览:0次 张贴报告

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摘要
Aerosol-cloud interactions (ACI) are fundamentally nonlinear, with their strongest climatic effects emerging where cloud properties are highly sensitive to aerosol changes—the aerosol-limited regime. Quantifying this regime's evolution is therefore critical for constraining uncertainties in climate forcing and future projections. By integrating satellite observations with climate model simulations, we map this regime globally and track its recent change. We find it expanded by 4.8% per decade over the past twenty years, primarily due to a sharp increase (~14.7% per decade) in the Northern Hemisphere driven by anthropogenic emission reductions. Under a strong emission reduction pathway, its frequency is projected to double or triple in key ocean regions. This systematic shift pushes marine clouds into a state of heightened aerosol sensitivity, thereby amplifying the cloud-mediated radiative response to aerosol changes. Our findings underscore the need to account for this evolving sensitivity in climate projections.
 
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报告人
Minghuai Wang
Professor Nanjing University

稿件作者
Minghuai Wang Nanjing University
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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