Establishment of the IAP-LACS Multi-Parameter Warm Cloud Microphysics Scheme and Real-Time Forecast Assessment of Typhoon "Bawi"
编号:689 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 18:24:52 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要
The parameterization of cloud microphysical processes is a fundamental and critically important task for numerical weather prediction and climate forecasting. Current two-moment cloud microphysics schemes exhibit significant errors in describing cloud microphysical processes. Through rigorous mathematical derivation and numerical simulations of microphysical processes, we have established internationally leading three-moment cloud droplet condensation schemes and an analytical solution scheme for raindrop formation. When compared with the analytical solution (which has an analytical solution for the growth of a single cloud droplet without considering curvature and solute effects), the simulation errors of cloud droplet liquid water content and radar reflectivity factor using our condensation growth scheme are within 1%, greatly improving the accuracy of cloud droplet size simulation compared with existing major schemes. Using the IAP-LACS warm cloud scheme, we established a WRF regional weather forecast system and accurately predicted the landfall time, movement path, and precipitation distribution of Typhoon "Bawi." This report provides a detailed analysis of the evolution of cloud droplet spectra and raindrop spectra during the landfall process of "Bawi," as well as their impact on precipitation amount and distribution.
 
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报告人
继明 孙
研究员 中国科学院大气物理研究所

稿件作者
继明 孙 中国科学院大气物理研究所
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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