The Suppression of Harmful Algal Blooms in Spring 2025 off the Zhe-Min Coast, China: A Consequence of Extreme Atmospheric and Oceanic Forcing
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摘要
The Zhe-Min coastal region of China, a principal fisheries area, frequently experiences harmful algal blooms (HABs) driven by the nutrient-rich southward current of the Zhe-Min Coastal Current (ZMCC). In spring 2025, however, routine monitoring (since 2001) recorded an unprecedented absence of large-scale HABs. This study investigates the dynamical mechanisms underpinning this suppression. Our analysis indicates that a persistent, record-breaking anomalous northeastward sea surface current inhibited southward nutrient transport to the Fuzhou–Wenzhou coast. Dynamical decomposition shows that this anomalous current resulted from distinct regional processes: off Fuzhou it manifested as a barotropic response to an anomalous cross-shelf sea-level gradient associated with an extremely weak northeasterly monsoon, while off Wenzhou it was predominantly baroclinic, driven by cross-shelf temperature gradients linked to frequent marine heatwaves. The observed thermal extremes are largely attributable to the record-breaking northward shift of the subtropical high-pressure system during the spring of 2025. Moreover, the interaction between a coastal marine cold spell and offshore heatwaves in March promoted cross-shelf transport that exported coastal nutrients offshore. These findings indicate that climate–related shifts—notably weakened monsoonal forcing and increased frequency of extreme thermal events—can act synergistically to form a compound hazard chain that substantially alters coastal physical–biological coupling, however, in this instance, suppressed large-scale HABs outbreak. Future research should pay more attention to the impacts generated by the coupling processes among such extreme events.
稿件作者
Haifeng Gu
Third Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources
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