Weakening N* trends in the East Asian marginal seas under declining aerosols
编号:456 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 16:38:27 浏览:0次 张贴报告

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摘要

The relative abundance of nitrate over phosphate in the marginal seas downstream of the East Asian continent increased steadily after 1980, driven largely by atmospheric deposition of pollutant nitrogen. Anthropogenic aerosol emissions over the region have since declined sharply, yet the SSP scenarios used in current Earth system projections prescribe continued increases, so the oceanic response to this aerosol demasking effect remains unquantified. We defined the effect as the difference between the SSP3-7.0-lowNTCF and SSP3-7.0 experiments of CESM2-WACCM and compared the simulated response with in situ nutrient observations collected in the East Asian marginal seas from 1987 to 2023. In the demasked field, the reduction in dissolved inorganic nitrogen deposition produced a corresponding decrease in surface excess nitrate (N*), and the two covaried closely (R2 = 0.62, p < 10−7). The trends in nitrogen deposition were of opposite sign in the two scenarios, yet N* increased in both, indicating attenuation rather than reversal of the upward trend. The observations were consistent with this behaviour: after the 2010s, the positive N* trends in the Yellow Sea and the East Sea (Sea of Japan) weakened and in some regions turned negative.

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报告人
Min-Woo Seok
Korea Institute of Science and Technology

稿件作者
Min-Woo Seok Korea Institute of Science and Technology
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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