Decoupling greenhouse gas and paleogeographic effects on Pacific decadal climate variability
编号:321 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 15:41:26 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要
Pacific decadal variability (PDV) influences not only circum-Pacific regions but also global climate, yet its evolution and controlling factors on geological timescales remain unclear. The response of PDV amplitude to greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing has been relatively well studied, while little is known about how paleogeographic changes regulate PDV amplitude. Using CESM paleoclimate simulations spanning 18 geological time slices from 170 Ma to the present, we quantitatively decompose the relative importance of GHGs versus land-sea configuration in regulating PDV evolution. We divide the entire period into two phases: Post-Pangaea Dispersal (170-90 Ma) and Pre-Amasia Convergence (80-0 Ma). During the earlier phase, GHGs and land-sea configuration have comparable influences on PDV amplitude (-0.06 and -0.07 C/100 Ma, respectively). In contrast, the later phase is dominated by GHG forcing (+0.07 C/100 Ma), with land-sea configuration playing a dampening role (-0.02 C/100 Ma). We further show that paleogeography modulates PDV amplitude through two mechanisms: background temperature is negatively correlated with PDV amplitude, whereas ocean basin width is positively correlated. Idealized experiments confirm that narrowing the Pacific basin alone (from 200 to 140 of longitude) weakens PDV by about 15% (from 0.32 to 0.27 C) through enhanced stratification. Our findings highlight that both GHGs and paleogeographic evolution regulate Pacific decadal variability amplitude through modulation of upper-ocean stratification.
 
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报告人
Sheng Wu
Peking University

稿件作者
Sheng Wu Peking University
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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