Interdecadal Change of Marine Cold Spells and Their Driving Processes in the Taiwan Strait during 1985 – 2025
编号:208 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 14:53:42 浏览:0次 张贴报告

报告开始:暂无开始时间(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:暂无持续时间

所在会场:[暂无会议] [暂无会议段]

暂无文件

摘要
Despite a global decline in marine cold spells (MCSs) under ongoing warming, the Taiwan Strait has experienced a pronounced increase in wintertime MCS frequency and persistence since ~2011, causing large-scale coral bleaching and fishery losses. This study investigates the interdecadal change and physical mechanisms of wintertime MCSs in the Taiwan Strait from 1985 to 2025 using satellite observations and reanalysis data. Results reveal a clear regime shift  around 2011. Before 2011, MCSs occurred ~0.5 events per year and lasted ~33 days on average. After 2011, both metrics nearly doubled to 1.1 events per year and ~55 days. Mixed‑layer heat budget analysis reveals a systematic transition across three hotspots: the northwestern strait (R1), the southwestern strait (R2), and mid-to-northern coast of Taiwan Island (R3). Surface heat flux contributions declined from 64%-75% in R1-R3 regions pre‑2011 to 24%-56% post‑2011, while advective contributions rose from 26%-35% to 42%-79%, particularly becoming dominant in R3. This shift from a surface‑flux–dominated to a dynamically reinforced cold regime is driven by the intensified East Asian winter monsoon, expressed via stronger mean northerlies and more frequent cold surges. The enhanced wind forcing amplifies southward cold advection by the China Coastal Current, while increased oceanic memory delays seasonal warming. This monsoon intensification is linked to a post-2011 reorganization of large-scale atmospheric circulation over the North Pacific. Under this reorganized background, a multi‑modal state integrating tropical and enhanced extratropical variabilities emerges, favoring persistent northerly wind forcing and contributing to the prolonged duration of MCS in the Taiwan Strait.
关键词
暂无
报告人
Xinyu Lin
副研究员 Third Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources

稿件作者
Xinyu Lin Third Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources
发表评论
验证码 看不清楚,更换一张
全部评论
重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
联系方式
历届会议
移动端
在手机上打开
小程序
打开微信小程序
客服
扫码或点此咨询