Diagnosing Optimal Forcing of the Western North Pacific Anomalous Anticyclone in a Deep‐Learning Model
编号:1507 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-09-01 01:08:28 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要

Deep‐learning weather prediction models have demonstrated skill in simulating large‐scale climate modes, but their physical interpretability remains a critical challenge. Here, we apply a 360‐member Green's function‐like ensemble to the Pangu‐Weather model to diagnose the optimal forcing configuration of the tropical western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone. The model reproduces the observed optimal forcing structure, including cooling over the western North Pacific and warming over the tropical Indian Ocean, demonstrating its ability to simulate physically consistent large‐scale responses. However, the model exhibits systematic biases, including a spurious westerly anomaly east of Indian Ocean heating and underestimated response to tropical Atlantic heating. These findings highlight both the physical consistency of Pangu‐Weather in capturing key climate modes and the challenges arising from its data‐driven nature. Our results underscore the need for hybrid modeling approaches that combine data‐driven learning with physical constraints to improve climate predictability and interpretability.

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报告人
震强 周
复旦大学

稿件作者
震强 周 复旦大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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