Emerging human-induced changes in the Southern Hemisphere ocean surface winds
编号:1387 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-09-01 00:13:11 浏览:0次 张贴报告

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摘要
Ocean surface wind changes regulate air–sea exchanges of momentum, buoyancy, and gases, with far‑reaching implications for the climate system. Although human influences on Southern Hemisphere winds are established from models, their detection and attribution in observations remain uncertain. Here, by applying a fingerprint‑based detection method to satellite observations and single‑forcing climate simulations, we show that an anthropogenic signal in Southern Hemisphere annual-mean surface wind speed (SWS) has emerged in the observational record. This signal is primarily associated with a poleward shift of the midlatitude SWS pattern, which is detectable since around 2016 across five observational datasets, rather than with an intensification of tropical winds. By 2016, single-forcing simulations attribute 80% of the simulated poleward shift to greenhouse gas forcing. This anthropogenic shift in SWS explains 31% of the observed increase in mechanical energy input to the Southern Ocean by wind work. Our findings demonstrate that human‑caused changes in Southern Ocean surface winds are already altering oceanic energy transfer, with further impacts anticipated as greenhouse gas emissions contiguously increase.
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报告人
Yitong Xie
Student Ocean University of China

稿件作者
Yitong Xie Ocean University of China
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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