Pulse-taking and -predicting for the Ocean by a Data-Driven Air-Sea Full-coupling Regional Forecast Model
编号:1296 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 23:38:01 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要
Submesoscale processes as well as internal waves (also called as the pulses of the ocean) of the ocean with horizontal scales from hundreds of meters to a few kilometers , take a key role in the oceanic dynamics and water mass/heat transport, and thus representing/predicting them correctly is essential to an accurate forecasting of the ocean state. However, they are difficult to be captured/predicted by the conventionally numerical ocean models due to their high nonlinearity in physics and the large requirement for computational resource. Here we demonstrate for the first time, to our knowledge, that a data-driven air-sea full-coupling regional forecast model built on a Swin-Transformer framework integrated with a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) system, named “Volador 1.0”, has the capability of capturing/predicting them with only a few seconds for a 72-h prediction, and produces an energy spectrum well representing sub‑ to mesoscale energy cascade as expected by the classical turbulence theory, beyond its good performance in the forecasting for conventional marine variables. Our study highligts the feasibility of oceanic refinement forecasting down to submesoscale with a very light computational cost through using deep neural network, which could help improve the capability of disaster prevention and mitigation in coastal regions.
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报告人
Yuhang Zhu
Associate Research F South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences

稿件作者
Yuhang Zhu South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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