Diversity in North tropical Atlantic variability: dynamics, impacts and changes
编号:1242 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 23:19:57 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要
A dominant mode of interannual climate variability over the tropical Atlantic, North tropical Atlantic variability (NTA), has been traditionally characterized by a single pattern of basin-scale sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies spanning from the equator to the subtropical North Atlantic, with substantial impacts on Atlantic hurricane activity. The period 2023-2024 saw two consecutive strong NTA warm events but with distinct anomaly patterns. The 2024 BNTA event fueled an extreme Atlantic hurricane season – including the earliest-formed category-5 hurricane (Beryl) and second-deadliest landfalling hurricane (Helene), resulting in an economic damage and loss of lives far greater than in 2023. Here we use observations and model outputs to find that there exists inherent diversity in NTA SST spatial structures and impacts. Two distinctive modes of variability: a basin-wide mode and a coastal mode, are underpinned by differing local air-sea interaction and oceanic feedback. The basin-wide mode has a stronger influence on Atlantic hurricane activity due to its more westward and persistent anomaly pattern. Extreme Atlantic hurricane seasons, as seen in 2024, likely occur more frequently due to the shifting NTA SST patterns under global warming.
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报告人
Yi Liu
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

稿件作者
Yi Liu The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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