Unveiling the Global Oceanic Influence of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Using Pacemaker Experiments
编号:1231 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-08-31 23:17:07 浏览:0次 口头报告

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摘要
Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) significantly impacts regional and global climate, as evidenced by observations and climate model simulations. Previous sensitivity experiments investigating the AMV were mostly based on climate model simulations in which the North Atlantic sea surface temperatures (NASSTs) were nudged to a fixed AMV pattern. Here, the global influence of AMV is explored using an ensemble of pacemaker experiments where NASSTs are nudged to the time-varying observational records. Ten ensemble members proved sufficient to distinguish forced signals from internal climate variability. Using high-pass filtered data to inform how the response to the AMV is established, we confirm that the AMV primarily affects the global ocean through its tropical component. The oceanic response to a warm AMV anomaly unfolds in four phases: (1) warming of the western Pacific warm pool and development of anomalous easterlies in the Western Indo-Pacific driven by diabatic heating over the tropical Atlantic within the first 6 months, (2) eastward propagation of equatorial thermocline anomalies and establishment of La Niña-like conditions in the eastern Pacific after 7-10 months, (3) persistence of La Niña conditions during 11-20 months via Bjerknes feedback and weakening of the Aleutian low thru tropical teleconnections, and (4) emergence of a negative Pacific Decadal Oscillation pattern in the North Pacific after 21-25 months. Our findings highlight the importance of using time-varying SST observations in pacemaker experiments to capture the full complexity of inter-basin connections.
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报告人
Weimin Jiang
Xiamen University

稿件作者
Weimin Jiang Xiamen University
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月12日

    2027

    01月15日

    2027

  • 07月21日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月15日 2027

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University (MEL)
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
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