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Precession-induced regime shift of summer precipitation leading modes over eastern China across the Last Interglacial
编号：968 访问权限：仅限参会人 更新：2026-04-10 12:08:36 浏览：15次 口头报告

报告开始：2026年04月27日 09:32（Asia/Shanghai）

报告时间：12min

所在会场：[S1-7] 专题1.7 大气环流与水汽来源：过去、现在和未来 [F31] 专题1.7 大气环流与水汽来源：过去、现在和未来

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摘要
It was well established that the East Asian summer monsoon experienced a long-term weakening during the transition from precession minimum (Pmin) to maximum (Pmax), but how the leading monsoonal precipitation modes at interdecadal/interannual timescale superimposing on this weakening trend may vary remains unknown, owing to the dispersively distributed proxies and their coarse resolution. To address this challenge, we perform a transient global climate simulation at ~1° resolution during 130–115 ka that encompasses the transition from Pmin (~127 ka) to Pmax (~116 ka). We demonstrate that the first leading mode of summer precipitation over eastern China shifted from monopole to dipole patterns during the Pmin-to-Pmax transition, with the second leading mode switching from dipole to tripole patterns. The shifts of precipitation modes were shaped by the southward shift of the regressed atmospheric circulation systems at interdecadal/interannual timescale during the Pmin-to-Pmax transition, which were further regulated by the long-term southward retreat and weakening of the East Asian summer monsoonal circulations due to decreased summer insolation. This elucidated interdecadal/interannual drought-flood variability superimposing on the long-term weakening of the East Asian summer monsoon, which may provide insight into how gradual orbital changes reorganize short-term precipitation variability and shed light on ecological civilizations over East Asia during the Pmin-to-Pmax transition.
 
关键词
降水模态,末次间冰期,岁差
报告人
江南萱
博士后 中国科学院大气物理研究所

稿件作者
江南萱 中国科学院大气物理研究所
燕青 中国科学院大气物理研究所
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重要日期

  • 会议日期

    04月25日

    2026

    至

    04月29日

    2026

  • 04月07日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

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未来大气科学论坛理事会
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河海大学海洋学院
南京大学南京赫尔辛基大气与地球系统科学学院
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