Delayed tropical Asian summer monsoon onset in recent decades
编号:859 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-04-08 15:09:22 浏览:12次 口头报告

报告开始:2026年04月27日 09:06(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:12min

所在会场:[S1-9] 专题1.9 古代与现代季风:代用指标、观测分析和演变机制 [F24] 专题1.9 古代与现代季风:代用指标、观测分析和演变机制

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摘要
This study reveals that the onset of tropical Asian summer monsoon (TASM) experienced a pronounced interdecadal delay (about one week) after the late-2000s. Both the large-scale seasonal transition reflected by EOF analysis and the monsoon onset dates defined by local rainfall exhibited a clear interdecadal change. Correspondingly, there appears reduced rainfall and low-level easterly anomalies over tropical Asia in May, indicating that the monsoonal westerly winds and convective activities cannot be stably established. Further analysis suggests that the SST warming in the equatorial western Indian Ocean serves as a possible driver of the delayed TASM onset. The warm SST anomalies trigger a Kelvin wave-like response to the east, inducing anticyclonic circulation and easterly anomalies over tropical Asia, which hinder moisture transport and reduce rainfall. The reduced rainfall further strengthens anomalous easterly winds, thereby favoring the delayed onset of the summer monsoon.
关键词
summer monsoon, monsoon onset, interdecadal change
报告人
胡鹏
副教授 云南大学

稿件作者
胡鹏 云南大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月25日

    2026

    04月29日

    2026

  • 04月07日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

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河海大学海洋学院
南京大学南京赫尔辛基大气与地球系统科学学院
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