Lower magnitude and slower increase of heat stress risk in the main season of ratooning rice compared to middle rice
编号:303 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-03-27 20:33:33 浏览:25次 特邀报告

报告开始:2026年04月26日 14:15(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S3-4] 专题3.4 气候变化与粮食安全 [F16] 专题3.4 气候变化与粮食安全

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摘要
Rice production in South China is increasingly threatened by more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing substantial risks to national food security. While ratooning rice (RR) has emerged as a promising alternative to middle rice (MR) due to its high resource-use efficiency and economic benefits, the comprehensive and quantitative comparison of climatic risks between these two systems remains elusive. Here, we quantified the spatiotemporal heat stress risks for RR (main season) and MR across South China. RR exhibited significantly lower magnitude and slower increase of heat stress risk during the critical heading stage compared to MR. Specifically, RR experienced an average of 4.6 heatwave days during the critical period, a 23.9% reduction relative to MR (6.0 days). This advantage was consistent across most provinces, with heatwave day reductions ranging from 4.2% to 58.1%. Temporally, the increase in heatwave days for MR (1.0 days/decade) was more than double that of RR (0.46 days/decade). Under future warming (SSP1-2.6/SSP5-8.5), the probability of historical 50-year extreme heat events increases by 20.2–23.5 fold for MR, whereas RR demonstrates superior resilience with a markedly lower increase of 12.6–17.3 fold. We further estimate that scaling up RR cultivation in South China could reduce heat-induced yield losses by approximately 2.0 million tons per year, relative to maintaining MR cultivation. Collectively, our findings demonstrate that the transition from MR to RR represents a pivotal agro-ecological adaptation strategy for mitigating climate risks in rice production under ongoing global warming.
关键词
Ratoon rice,Heat stress,climate change adaptation,food security
报告人
杨显轲
副研 华中农业大学

稿件作者
杨显轲 华中农业大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月25日

    2026

    04月29日

    2026

  • 04月07日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

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未来大气科学论坛理事会
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河海大学海洋学院
南京大学南京赫尔辛基大气与地球系统科学学院
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