Causes of Interdecadal Increase in the Intraseasonal Rainfall Variability over Southern China around the Early 1990s
编号:268 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-04-09 11:31:30 浏览:13次 口头报告

报告开始:2026年04月27日 17:25(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:10min

所在会场:[S1-16] 专题1.16 热带西太平洋多尺度过程及影响 [F42] 专题1.16 热带西太平洋多尺度过程及影响

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摘要
The southern China (SC) summer rainfall exhibits prominent intraseasonal variability, which exhibits a significant increase in the early 1990s with the turning point at 1993. The SC intraseasonal rainfall events could be divided into three categories according to different propagations, including the southward-propagating (SP) events, the northwestward-propagating (NWP) events, and the northward-propagating (NP) events. This study explores the causes of the observed interdecadal increase in the intraseasonal rainfall variability over SC by comparing the SC intraseasonal rainfall events of each category between the former decadal period (P1) and the later decadal period (P2). The result indicates that such interdecadal change is due to the more frequent NP events coming from the South China Sea (SCS). Based on the moisture and vorticity budget analysis, it is revealed that the summer mean southerly wind in the middle to lower troposphere is the dominant factor of the northward propagation over the SCS, as it could induce positive meridional moisture and vorticity advection anomalies ahead of the convection. A marked interdecadal enhancement of the summer mean southerly wind over the SCS is the cause of more frequent occurrence of NP events over SC, as it provides more favorable conditions for the northward propagation. The change of the atmospheric instability over the SCS where the NP convection perturbation originates was also investigated, but no significant change was found.
关键词
Southern China,Intraseasonal rainfall variability,interdecadal change
报告人
程一峰
博士后 南京信息工程大学

稿件作者
程一峰 南京信息工程大学
王璐 南京信息工程大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月25日

    2026

    04月29日

    2026

  • 04月07日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

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河海大学海洋学院
南京大学南京赫尔辛基大气与地球系统科学学院
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