夏季印度洋海盆模态对MJO的调制
编号:169 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-03-25 17:49:22 浏览:23次 主题报告

报告开始:2026年04月27日 08:30(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:20min

所在会场:[S1-5] 专题1.5 次季节变率:机制、影响、预测 [F26] 专题1.5 次季节变率:机制、影响、预测

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摘要
Understanding the dynamics of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is crucial for enhancing subseasonal−seasonal prediction of global extremes. This study has explored the modulation of Indian Ocean Basin Mode (IOBM) on the MJO during May−August, with minimal concurrent influences of El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Results show that the zonal phase speed of the MJO under the warm IOBM (WI) phase is reduced by approximately 26% than that under the cold IOBM (CI) phase. Additionally, compared to the CI phase, the WI phase yields more weakened convective activity of MJO over the Maritime Continent (MC). These various MJO characteristics under the IOBM modulation are understood by examining dynamical-wave and moisture-convection feedbacks. For the MJO under the WI phase, the stronger Rossby westerly and weaker Kelvin easterly jointly slowdown the eastward propagation of the MJO, while the opposite holds for the accelerated MJO under the CI phase. Furthermore, the easier propagation of CI MJO over the MC than WI MJO is related to a stronger pre-moistening over the western Pacific, which is mainly contributed by the high-frequency eddy moisture transport and secondly by the meridional advection of anomalous moisture under IOBM-related low-frequency background winds. Besides these two feedback processes, we also discuss contrasts of WI and CI MJOs in their initiation location and northward propagation over the IO under the IOBM modulation. Observational results are partly reproduced by climate model experiments. These findings may advance our basic understanding of multiscale interactions among high-frequency transients, MJO and low-frequency background mean state in the tropical atmosphere.
关键词
印度洋海盆模态,MJO
报告人
任宏利
研究员 中国气象科学研究院

稿件作者
任宏利 中国气象科学研究院
王玉雯 中国气象科学研究院
魏云涛 复旦大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月25日

    2026

    04月29日

    2026

  • 04月07日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

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未来大气科学论坛理事会
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河海大学海洋学院
南京大学南京赫尔辛基大气与地球系统科学学院
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