Ensemble-based Assimilation of Sounding Observations with AI Weather Models
编号:1088 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-04-13 16:07:56 浏览:1次 口头报告

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摘要
The artificial intelligence (AI)-based weather models have shown great promise for weather forecasts. But they rely on the initial conditions provided by traditional paradigm of numerical weather prediction, which has a cycled data assimilation (DA) to combine short-term forecasts and observations. This study demonstrates the ability of AI weather models within the framework of cycling DA, achieving a successful and stable cycling DA with assimilation of real-time sounding observations. For FengWu, assimilation of wind observations can better constrain the atmospheric state than assimilation of temperature observations, and both produce more accurate analyses and 6-h forecasts than assimilation of specific humidity observations. But when Pangu-Weather is applied, assimilating wind observations cannot constrain the state variables of temperature and specific humidity as well as that with FengWu. This indicates that the influences of observation types on cycling DA with AI weather models are model-dependent, associated with the intrinsic error characteristics. 
关键词
AI weather model,data assimilation,weather forecasts
报告人
黄汇丰
南京大学

稿件作者
黄汇丰 南京大学
雷荔傈 南京大学
谈哲敏 南京大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月25日

    2026

    04月29日

    2026

  • 04月07日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

主办单位
未来大气科学论坛理事会
承办单位
河海大学海洋学院
南京大学南京赫尔辛基大气与地球系统科学学院
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