890 / 2026-03-26 16:51:10

Reconstructing the Pacific Decadal Oscillation over the last 1600 years by fusing global terrestrial and marine records

Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) reconstruction,Paleoclimate reconstruction,Paleoclimate variability

主题1 天气、气候、全球变化、行星大气 > 专题1.6 年代际气候变化机理与预测技术

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) has a significant impact on global climate. However, previous reconstructions of the PDO have lacked consensus due to differences in regions and types of paleoclimate proxies used. In this study, we combined advantages of different proxies using the nested principal component regression method, synthesizing global well-dated high-resolution terrestrial tree ring δ¹⁸O, speleothem δ¹⁸O, glacier ice δ¹⁸O and marine coral δ¹⁸O records to reconstruct the PDO from 383 to 2000 CE. The reconstructed PDO exhibits primary cyclical variability with a period of 10 to 12 years. and the PDO variability has increased since the Industrial Revolution, possibly related to more frequent shifts in PDO phases. Over the past millennium, PDO can modulate the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), with more frequent El Niño (La Niña) events during positive (negative) PDO phases. Additionally, superposed epoch analysis did not find clear evidence of volcanic eruption events affecting PDO phases. Our new reconstruction of the PDO provides an extension of instrumental records and benefits the research on the mechanisms of decadal climate variability.