119 / 2026-02-12 09:44:11
How will Tropical Pacific Trends Affect the Future of the Southern Annular Mode?
Tropical Pacific,Southern Annular Mode,Greenhouse gas,ozone
摘要录用
邱威腾 / 中国气象科学研究院
The Southern Hemisphere extratropical atmospheric circulation has experienced a strong positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). Understanding the cause of this change is crucial for projecting future regional climate change. Here, we analyse the contributing factors to the trend in the SAM under both historical and future conditions. We show that the contribution from tropical Pacific climate trends, marked by a La Niña-like trend in recent decades (1979-2014), is comparable in magnitude to the effects of greenhouse gases (GHG) and stratospheric ozone (O3) depletion. The results demonstrate the pivotal role of tropical Pacific trends in the future Southern Hemisphere climate and the need to improve simulations of tropical Pacific climate.

 
重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月25日

    2026

    04月29日

    2026

  • 04月07日 2026

    初稿截稿日期

主办单位
未来大气科学论坛理事会
承办单位
河海大学海洋学院
南京大学南京赫尔辛基大气与地球系统科学学院
联系方式
历届会议
移动端
在手机上打开
小程序
打开微信小程序
客服
扫码或点此咨询