612 / 2024-04-27 09:58:00
Forecast Competition in Electricity Balancing Market
electricity balancing market,netload forecast,game theory,information sharing
摘要待审
CuiJingshi / Nanjing University
GuNan / Tsinghua University
ZhaoTianyu / The Chinese University of Hong Kong
WuChenye / 香港中文大学(深圳)
ChenMinghua / City University of Hong Kong
The integration of renewable energy generation into the power grid has become crucial for reducing carbon emissions and promoting environmental sustainability. However, uncertainties associated with renewable generation and electricity demand necessitate accurate netload forecasting to ensure reliable operation of the power system. In this work, we focus on the electricity balancing market, consisting of a system operator and multiple market participants. Market participants submit day-ahead bids based on forecast results to meet demand requirements, while the system operator determines the imbalance penalty based on the total imbalance across all participants. This generates a non-convex game among market participants, prompting an examination of equilibrium existence and uniqueness. Then, we demonstrate that, if an equilibrium exists, it supports maximal social welfare and, under certain conditions, minimizes total mismatch. Furthermore, we explore the local and global impacts of forecast errors under mild conditions, and conduct a robustness analysis. These findings provide mechanism design guidelines to enable data sharing and forecast method sharing among market participants in the balancing market.
重要日期
  • 会议日期

    06月28日

    2024

    07月01日

    2024

  • 07月01日 2024

    注册截止日期

主办单位
中国科学技术大学
协办单位
管理科学与工程学会
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