Application of Machine Learning Methods in Crash Severity Prediction for Large Truck-Involved Work Zone Crashes
编号:719 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2021-12-03 10:27:53 浏览:92次 张贴报告

报告开始:2021年12月19日 12:25(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[T2] Track II Transportation Infrastructure Engineering [S2-4] Simulation and Characterization on Transportation Materials

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摘要
This paper presents the results of an analysis focusing on the recognition of large truck-involved work zone crash patterns with fatality outcomes. This study applied random oversampling and systematic oversampling techniques using a ten-year large truck involved work zone crash data in the state of Florida. Decision trees and random forest models were consequently built for the raw and resampled datasets. Results showed that the combination of oversampling with ensemble random forest technique significantly improved model performance in predicting fatality crashes. In addition, results showed that certain driver actions, combined with roadway conditions, proximity to signalized intersections, lighting conditions, and vehicle restraint equipment were significantly associated with fatality outcomes. Among different driver actions, improper turns, failing to keep proper lane, and wrong-way driving were critical movements. Among different types of trucks, trucks with trailers seem to be less likely to be involved in fatal crashes.
关键词
CICTP
报告人
Xia Jin
Florida International University

稿件作者
Xia Jin Florida International University
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    12月17日

    2021

    12月20日

    2021

  • 12月16日 2021

    报告提交截止日期

  • 12月24日 2021

    注册截止日期

主办单位
Chinese Overseas Transportation Association
Chang'an University
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