Assessing Chinese flood protection and its social divergence
编号:1761 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2021-06-16 15:07:26 浏览:814次 口头报告

报告开始:2021年07月10日 13:00(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S7B] 7B、地理及地理信息科学 [S7B-1-1] 专题7.1 人地关系分析与区域发展地理

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摘要
China is one of the most flood-prone countries, and development within floodplains is intensive. However, flood protection levels (FPLs) across the country are mostly unknown, hampering the present assertive efforts on flood risk management. Based on the flood-protection prescriptions contained in the national flood policies, this paper develops a dataset of likely FPLs for China and investigates the protection granted to different demographic groups. The new dataset corresponds to local flood protection designs in 91 (53.2 %) of the 171 validation counties, and in 154 counties (90.1 %) it is very close to the designed FPLs. This suggests that the policy-based FPLs could be a valuable proxy for designed FPLs in China. The FPLs are significantly higher than previously estimated in the FLOPROS (FLOod PROtection Standards) global dataset, suggesting that Chinese flood risk was probably overestimated. Relatively high FPLs (return period of ≥ 50 years) are seen in 282 or only 12.6% of the evaluated 2237 counties, which host a majority (55.1 %) of the total exposed population. However, counties with low FPLs (return period of < 50 years) host a disproportionate share (52.3 %) of the exposed vulnerable population (children and elders), higher than their share (44.9 %) of the exposed population. These results imply that to reduce social vulnerability and decrease potential casualties, investment in flood risk management should also consider the demographic characteristics of the exposed population.
关键词
flood protection,vulnerable population,social hydrology
报告人
王丹
上海师范大学

稿件作者
王丹 上海师范大学
ScussoliniPaolo Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
杜士强 上海师范大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    07月09日

    2021

    07月11日

    2021

  • 05月30日 2021

    摘要截稿日期

  • 05月30日 2021

    初稿截稿日期

  • 05月30日 2021

    提前注册日期

  • 07月10日 2021

    注册截止日期

  • 07月11日 2021

    报告提交截止日期

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